Posts Tagged ‘Investment’

Let’s Invest with Margin

May 22nd, 2010

Money trap

With the current market pullback recently, some people have got a “margin call”. They have to, either add more money or liquidate their investment (meaning sell in low price).

For those who don’t know, “margin” basically means borrow money from your broker to invest. On the one hand, using a margin can accelerate our return. On the other hand, there is a greater risk when we have market pullback, just what we had recently.

Let’s take an example: suppose that we invest $10,000. Using a 2:1 margin ratio, we can invest up to $20,000. Let’s assume that we invest the whole $20,000.

Scenario 1: Our investment goes up by 50%. Our balance is now $30,000. It means we have a profit of $10,000; so our return of investment is 100%. Remember that our original principal is $10,000.

Scenario 2: Our investment goes down by 50%. Our balance is now $10,000. Since we still “owe” our broker $10,000. we lost all of our principal money. In other words, our return is –100%.

Usually, you won’t be able to lost all of your principal when investing using a margin. Your broker usually will do “margin call” if your margin ratio dropped below a certain level. For example, if your broker allows up to 3:1 margin ratio, once your principal is less than 33% of your total investment; they will call you. :)

Getting a margin call is always not a good experience. Sometimes, we have to sell our investment in a very low price.

(Picture is from stock.xchng.)

ETF Dividend Yield

April 21st, 2010

We are currently developing a system to help us making decision for our investment. It is not an automatic trading system. It is just a customized stock screener and filter. It will be used for Relative Strength Investing as well. We will be sharing the system in this blog later when it is complete and stable enough. We don’t have the timeline yet since we just do it as hobby in our spare time.

Our first project is a simple ETF screener. We gathered a list of all ETFs traded in the US stock exchange. Thanks to MasterDATA who has provided a free CSV file containing the complete list. Then we use data from Yahoo Finance! to generate various customized screeners. One of them is generating ETF dividend yield.

excel  Click here to download table of ETF dividend yield (in CSV format)

 

Here is the 15 ETFs that pay highest dividend as of today.

Symbol Dividend Dividend Yield
EDV 13.962 17.95%
JNK 4.504 11.25%
DRW 2.522 9.30%
HYG 8.018 8.98%
REM 1.325 8.52%
PHB 1.548 8.51%
PGF 1.356 7.83%
PGX 1.038 7.49%
GRI 2.118 6.48%
PCY 1.652 6.24%
PFF 2.382 6.15%
LWC 2.197 6.11%
IFGL 1.772 6.08%
FFR 1.809 5.62%
HYD 1.702 5.56%

 

Links

Leveraged ETF = Getting Rich Quickly?

February 27th, 2010

Direxion Funds ProShares Horizons BetaPro

Are you familiar with leveraged ETF? For those who don’t know, here is the description from Investopedia.com:

An exchange-traded fund (ETF) that utilizes financial derivatives and debt to amplify the returns of an underlying index.

These ETFs are usually double (2x) or triple (3x) the underlying index. For example:

  • SSO is a double (2x) leverage ETF of S&P 500 from ProShares. It means, when S&P 500 goes up 1% on a single day; this ETF goes up 2% in price. On the other hand, when S&P drops 2%, this ETF drops 4%.
  • EDC is triple (3x) leverage ETF of MSCI Emerging Markets Index from Direxion. It means when the index goes up 1%, this ETF goes up 3% in price. The same is true for the downside.

Is this an easy to way to get rich quickly? When these ETFs were pretty new in the market a couple of years ago, we think it is. We were dreaming that we could easily beat the index by investing in these ETFs. We didn’t do more research at that time. We invested *a lot* of money in a couple of leveraged ETFs. What happened then? We were totally doomed, especially during the recession.

These ETFs amplify the underlying index only on a single day. It doesn’t accumulate for longer period of time. Let’s take an example:

  • Day 0: S&P 500 is at 1,000. Our triple leveraged ETF for S&P 500 is at $100.
  • Day 1: S&P 500 goes down by 10% to 900. Our ETF drops 30% to $70.
  • Day 2: S&P 500 goes up by 12% to 1008. Our ETF goes up by 36% to $95.2.

As you can see, after the second day, S&P 500 is higher than day 0; but our ETF is still below day 0.

The chart below the comparison of SSO and S&P 500 from June 2006 to today. As you can see here, the return of S&P 500 in this period is –11.66%. However, the return of SSE is –46.93%.

Be really careful when investing in leveraged ETFs. We don’t invest in any of leveraged ETFs today.

SSP versus S&P 500

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