Posts Tagged ‘ETF’

Market Pullback = Buy Leveraged Bull ETF?

May 11th, 2010

Dow Jones Industrial Average

I am sure that all of you know that we had a market pullback last week. Dow Jones Industrial Averages lost about 700 points in a week. Although the market has rebounded yesterday, we can expect high volatility in the next couple of days.

I heard that some people are buying leveraged bull ETFs in this pullback. Their rationale is that we are still in a bull market. This is only a temporary pullback. The market should make a new high soon. By buying leveraged ETFs, they hope to double or triple their profits.

For those who don’t know about leveraged ETF, you can read our previous posting, Leveraged ETF = Getting Rich Quickly. A leveraged ETF is basically a financial derivative that amplifies the return of the underlying index. For example, SSO is a double (2x) leverage ETF of S&P 500 from ProShares. It means, when S&P 500 goes up 1% on a single day; this ETF goes up 2% in price. On the other hand, when S&P drops 2%, this ETF drops 4%.

Should we buy leveraged ETFs? Personally, we had a bad experience with leveraged ETFs in the last market crash. Here is the story:

When leveraged ETFs are still pretty new to the market about 3 years ago, we bought them with a large amount of money. We didn’t do enough research. We didn’t even realize that it amplifies the underlying index on a daily basis. Then, it came market crash in 2008. That’s when we realize that this product is just garbage. As we pointed out in our previous posting, SSO lost –46% from 2006 to 2010; while the underlying index, S&P 500 lost only –11%.

Our recommendation, stay away from leveraged ETFs. It is not a good investment vehicle. If you want to do day-trading with them, it is up to you. :)

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ETF and Relative Strength Investing

April 29th, 2010

We wrote about Relative Strength Investing (RSI) a couple of weeks ago. We are currently developing a system that uses Relative Strength Investing to help us decide which sectors or countries leading the market. We will disclose the detail about this system in our future posting. What we can say now, it is our hobby project; and we are doing it in our spare time.

Today, we tried to run our RSI system against our ETF database. Here is the list of ETFs that are leading the market in the last 5 days.

1 day TAN: +5.72%
ICF: +4.6%
RWR: +4.54%
2 day ICF: +4.98%
VNQ: +4.83%
RWR: +4.74%
3 day GDXJ: +2.65%
XBI: +1.99%
IHF: +1.84%
4 day ICF: +2.4%
RWR: +2.32%
VNQ: +2.29%
1 week GDXJ: +4.35%
ICF: +3.96%
VNQ: 3.64%

Note that we only choose ETFs with the following criteria:

  • average volume at least 100K daily
  • no leveraged ETF is included

As you can see, TAN is leading the market today with +5.72% increase. For those who don’t know, TAN is an ETF that invests in solar-cell related companies.

If we go back to 2 days range, we can see that ICF is leading the market with a total of +4.98% increase. ICF is an ETF that invests in large and liquid REIT (Real Estate Income Trust).

Based on a table like above, we can see which sectors or countries are leading the market. For example, we can easily identify that REIT dominates the market this week.

ETF Dividend Yield

April 21st, 2010

We are currently developing a system to help us making decision for our investment. It is not an automatic trading system. It is just a customized stock screener and filter. It will be used for Relative Strength Investing as well. We will be sharing the system in this blog later when it is complete and stable enough. We don’t have the timeline yet since we just do it as hobby in our spare time.

Our first project is a simple ETF screener. We gathered a list of all ETFs traded in the US stock exchange. Thanks to MasterDATA who has provided a free CSV file containing the complete list. Then we use data from Yahoo Finance! to generate various customized screeners. One of them is generating ETF dividend yield.

excel  Click here to download table of ETF dividend yield (in CSV format)

 

Here is the 15 ETFs that pay highest dividend as of today.

Symbol Dividend Dividend Yield
EDV 13.962 17.95%
JNK 4.504 11.25%
DRW 2.522 9.30%
HYG 8.018 8.98%
REM 1.325 8.52%
PHB 1.548 8.51%
PGF 1.356 7.83%
PGX 1.038 7.49%
GRI 2.118 6.48%
PCY 1.652 6.24%
PFF 2.382 6.15%
LWC 2.197 6.11%
IFGL 1.772 6.08%
FFR 1.809 5.62%
HYD 1.702 5.56%

 

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